AT&T Inc. (NYSE: T)
Q2 2025 Financial Analysis | July 23, 2025
Executive Summary
AT&T delivered robust second-quarter 2025 results, demonstrating strong execution in its connectivity strategy with high-quality 5G and fiber subscriber growth. The company reported revenues of $30.8 billion, up 3.5% year-over-year, driven by mobility service revenue growth of 3.5% and consumer fiber broadband revenue growth of 18.9%. Operating income reached $6.5 billion while adjusted EBITDA totaled $11.7 billion. The company achieved 401,000 postpaid phone net adds with industry-leading churn of 0.87% and added 446,000 total broadband customers including 243,000 AT&T Fiber and 203,000 AT&T Internet Air subscribers.
Q2 2025 Highlights
Financial Performance
AT&T’s second quarter 2025 results demonstrated strong execution across its connectivity strategy, with total revenues increasing 3.5% to $30.8 billion. This growth was primarily driven by higher mobility service revenues, which increased 3.5% year-over-year, and robust consumer wireline growth of 5.8%, partially offset by expected declines in business wireline and Mexico operations.
Operating income improved significantly to $6.5 billion from $5.8 billion in the prior year, representing a 12% increase. The improvement reflected operational growth and ongoing transformation efforts, partially offset by higher equipment costs associated with increased wireless equipment sales and continued fiber investment. Adjusted operating income was also $6.5 billion, up from $6.3 billion in the prior year.
Net income reached $4.9 billion, a substantial 26% increase from $3.9 billion in Q2 2024. This translated to diluted earnings per share of $0.62, up from $0.49 in the prior year. On an adjusted basis, which excludes equity income from DIRECTV and other items, earnings per share were $0.54 compared to $0.51 in the prior year.
Adjusted EBITDA grew to $11.7 billion from $11.3 billion in the prior year, reflecting the company’s continued focus on operational efficiency and margin expansion. The company maintained strong cash generation with cash from operating activities of $9.8 billion, up from $9.1 billion in the prior year, driven by operational growth and higher distributions from DIRECTV.
Free cash flow, excluding DIRECTV cash flows, was $4.4 billion compared to $4.0 billion in the prior year, representing a 10% increase. This strong cash flow performance supported the company’s capital allocation priorities including network investment and shareholder returns through share repurchases of approximately $1.0 billion during the quarter.
Segment Performance
Segment | Revenue ($B) | YoY Change | Operating Income ($B) | Key Drivers |
---|---|---|---|---|
Mobility | $21.8 | +6.7% | $6.9 | Service revenue growth, equipment sales |
Business Wireline | $4.3 | -9.3% | -$0.2 | Legacy service declines, fiber growth |
Consumer Wireline | $3.5 | +5.8% | $0.3 | Fiber subscriber growth, ARPU expansion |
Latin America | $1.1 | -4.4% | $0.05 | Foreign exchange headwinds |
Mobility segment delivered exceptional performance with revenues increasing 6.7% to $21.8 billion. Service revenues grew 3.5% to $16.9 billion driven by postpaid phone ARPU growth of 1.1% and continued subscriber additions. Equipment revenues surged 18.8% to $5.0 billion reflecting higher wireless device sales volumes and the sale of higher-priced devices. The segment achieved 401,000 postpaid phone net adds with industry-leading churn of 0.87%.
Business Wireline segment continued to face secular pressures with revenues declining 9.3% to $4.3 billion. Legacy and transitional services declined 17.3%, though this was partially offset by 3.5% growth in fiber and advanced connectivity services. Operating expenses decreased 3.0% due to ongoing transformation initiatives, though the segment reported an operating loss of $201 million compared to $102 million income in the prior year.
Consumer Wireline segment showed strong momentum with revenues increasing 5.8% to $3.5 billion. This growth was driven by broadband revenue growth of 10.5%, with fiber revenues increasing 18.9%. The segment delivered positive broadband net adds for the eighth consecutive quarter, adding 243,000 AT&T Fiber customers and 203,000 AT&T Internet Air customers. Broadband ARPU increased 7.5% to $71.16.
Latin America segment faced foreign exchange headwinds with revenues declining 4.4% to $1.1 billion. However, the segment showed operational improvements with operating income of $46 million compared to $6 million in the prior year, and EBITDA increased 12.9% to $201 million. The segment added 235,000 total wireless net adds including 183,000 postpaid subscribers.
The Communications segment overall generated revenues of $29.7 billion, up 3.9% year-over-year, with operating income increasing 0.9% to $7.1 billion, demonstrating the resilience and growth potential of AT&T’s connectivity portfolio.
Strategic Initiatives & Tax Benefits
AT&T announced significant strategic benefits from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, which will provide substantial tax savings and enable accelerated network investment:
One Big Beautiful Bill Act Impact
- Cash Tax Savings: $6.5 to $8.0 billion expected during 2025-2027, including $1.5-2.0 billion in 2025 and $2.5-3.0 billion in each of 2026 and 2027
- Network Investment: $3.5 billion of savings will accelerate fiber deployment to 4 million locations per year by end of 2026
- Pension Funding: $1.5 billion contribution to employee pension plan by end of 2026, achieving ~95% funding
- Fiber Expansion: Target of 50 million in-region fiber locations by 2030, over 60 million including Lumen acquisition
The company’s fiber strategy continues to show strong execution, with AT&T having passed more than 30 million customer locations with fiber and eclipsing 1 million total AT&T Internet Air customers. The agreement to acquire substantially all of Lumen’s Mass Markets fiber business will further strengthen AT&T’s connectivity portfolio.
Key strategic developments include:
- Completion of DIRECTV divestiture with sale of remaining 70% stake to TPG on July 2, 2025
- Continued focus on 5G network leadership with investments in network modernization
- Expansion of fixed wireless access through AT&T Internet Air product
- Ongoing transformation initiatives to improve operational efficiency
These initiatives position AT&T to capitalize on the growing demand for connectivity services while maintaining financial flexibility through strong cash flow generation and strategic capital allocation.
2025 Outlook & Guidance
AT&T provided updated guidance for 2025, reflecting strong year-to-date performance and the impact of tax savings from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act:
Full Year 2025 Expectations
- Consolidated service revenue growth in the low-single-digit range
- Mobility service revenue growth of 3% or better
- Consumer fiber broadband revenue growth in the mid-to-high teens
- Adjusted EBITDA growth of 3% or better
- Mobility EBITDA growth of approximately 3%
- Business Wireline EBITDA decline in the low-double-digit range
- Consumer Wireline EBITDA growth in the low-to-mid-teens range
- Capital investment in the $22 to $22.5 billion range
- Free cash flow in the low-to-mid $16 billion range
- Adjusted EPS of $1.97 to $2.07
- Share repurchases of $4 billion for 2025
Long-Term Outlook (2026-2027)
- Consolidated service revenue growth in the low-single-digit range annually
- Adjusted EBITDA growth of 3% or better annually
- Adjusted EPS accelerating to double-digit percentage growth in 2027
- Capital investment in the $23 to $24 billion range annually (updated due to tax savings)
- Free cash flow of $18 billion+ in 2026 and $19 billion+ in 2027
The updated guidance reflects AT&T’s confidence in its strategic execution and the significant benefits from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act. The company continues to operate the business to achieve the strategy outlined at its 2024 Analyst & Investor Day, with enhanced capital deployment enabled by the tax savings.
Risks & Opportunities
Opportunities
Risks
Conclusion
Strengths
- Strong mobility performance with 401,000 postpaid phone net adds and 0.87% churn
- Robust fiber growth with 243,000 net adds and 18.9% revenue growth
- Significant tax savings enabling accelerated network investment
- Strong cash flow generation supporting capital allocation flexibility
- Market-leading 5G and fiber network infrastructure
Areas to Monitor
- Business wireline secular decline impact on overall revenue growth
- Execution of accelerated fiber deployment strategy
- Competition intensity in wireless and broadband markets
- Integration and expansion of Lumen Mass Markets fiber assets
- Return on significant capital investments in network infrastructure
Summary
AT&T delivered strong second-quarter 2025 results that demonstrate successful execution of its connectivity strategy. Revenue growth of 3.5% to $30.8 billion was driven by robust mobility service performance and accelerating fiber broadband adoption. The company achieved 401,000 postpaid phone net adds with industry-leading 0.87% churn, while fiber subscribers grew by 243,000 with revenue increasing 18.9%.
The significant tax benefits from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act provide AT&T with unprecedented strategic flexibility, enabling $3.5 billion in additional network investments to accelerate fiber deployment to 4 million locations annually. Combined with the Lumen Mass Markets acquisition, this positions AT&T to reach over 60 million fiber locations by 2030.
Strong cash flow generation of $4.4 billion and improved profitability metrics demonstrate operational discipline while supporting continued network investment. The updated guidance reflecting double-digit EPS growth by 2027 and free cash flow exceeding $19 billion illustrates the long-term value creation potential of AT&T’s strategic initiatives.
With the nation’s largest wireless and fiber networks, AT&T is well-positioned to capitalize on growing connectivity demand while delivering sustainable growth and enhanced shareholder returns through its comprehensive transformation strategy.
Source: AT&T Q2 2025 Earnings Release