Super Micro Computer Inc. (SMCI) Stock Analysis

Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI), commonly referred to as Supermicro, is a global leader in high-performance, high-efficiency server technology and innovation. The company develops, manufactures, and provides end-to-end green computing solutions to the data center, cloud computing, enterprise IT, big data, high-performance computing (HPC), and embedded markets. Their offerings range from complete server, storage, blade and workstations to full racks, networking devices, server management software, and technology support and services.


Founded in 1993 and headquartered in San Jose, California, Supermicro prides itself on providing first-to-market innovation for server technologies that are the backbone of both IT and Internet infrastructures. Recognized for its advanced Server Building Block Solutions®, Supermicro has been committed to delivering first-to-market innovation, like its Resource-Saving architecture, which delivers a high degree of modularity to maximize performance, efficiency, and scalability.


With a strong focus on environmental protection through energy-efficient products, the company’s approach is famously encapsulated in their “We Keep IT Green®” initiative. This commitment to green computing is core to the company’s philosophy, combining eco-friendly and recyclable computing components with efficiency and performance.


Supermicro’s vast range of products and services have established the company as a top choice for industry leaders, with a clientele that includes Fortune 100 companies and some of the world’s most prominent tech organizations. Its scalable solutions have also attracted a diverse customer base across different sectors, allowing for flexible and robust IT solutions that cater to the various needs of enterprise-level businesses, research institutions, and even government entities.


As Supermicro continues to expand its global reach and product portfolio, the company stands as a testament to innovation, quality, and dedication to sustainability within the tech industry.


Quantitative Analysis:


Revenue Growth: SMCI shows robust revenue growth year-over-year (YoY), with a remarkable 37.09% growth from 2022 to 2023, signaling strong demand for its products and services.


Profitability: The company has a high net income growth, especially between 2022 and 2023. Its ROE of 32.60% and ROIC of 21.55% are excellent indicators of efficient capital management and profitability.


Earnings Per Share (EPS): An EPS of $12.81 suggests the company is generating a substantial amount of profit per share, which is a good sign for investors. Moreover, the significant increase in EPS growth indicates an upward trend in profitability.


Margins: The gross, operating, and profit margins are healthy, showing that the company is able to convert a good portion of its revenue into profit.


Free Cash Flow (FCF): The FCF is currently negative at -$169.23 million, which could be a concern as it suggests the company may not be generating enough cash to support operations and invest in growth.


Valuation Ratios: The PE Ratio is quite high at 71.11, indicating the stock might be overvalued or that investors expect high growth in the future. The forward PE is lower, at 33.09, suggesting analysts expect higher earnings ahead. The PEG ratio of 0.76 is within a reasonable range, indicating the stock could be fairly valued based on growth expectations.


Balance Sheet: SMCI has a solid current ratio of 2.43, indicating good short-term liquidity. The net cash position is strong at $350.03 million.


Market Performance: With a 52-week price change of +824.66%, the stock has performed exceptionally well, possibly reflecting investor confidence in the company’s growth prospects.


Qualitative Analysis:


Market Position: SMCI’s significant growth in revenue and net income suggests that it has a strong market position and is possibly gaining market share.


Management and Governance: The relatively low debt-to-equity ratio of 0.12 indicates conservative financial management, and insider ownership of 15.02% aligns management interests with shareholders.


Future Prospects: The company doesn’t pay dividends, which might mean it’s reinvesting profits back into the company for growth. The earnings date set for April 30, 2024, will be crucial for assessing the company’s trajectory.



Investment Considerations:


Risks: The negative free cash flow poses a risk for value investors as it could affect the company’s ability to sustain operations without external financing.


Stock Price: The stock has experienced significant appreciation, and the high PE ratio might deter value investors looking for undervalued stocks.


Market Expectations: The high growth rates in revenue and EPS may have led to inflated expectations, which could be a risk if the company fails to meet them in future earnings.




Super Micro Computer, Inc. (SMCI) shows impressive growth and profitability metrics, suggesting a strong business model. However, its stock price has seen significant growth, which may concern value investors looking for undervalued opportunities. The negative free cash flow is a red flag that warrants caution. Potential investors should keep an eye on future earnings reports, especially the upcoming one, to ensure the company’s performance aligns with the market’s high expectations before making an investment decision.



This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own research or consult with a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

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