Visa, Inc. (NYSE: V)

Fiscal Second Quarter 2025 Financial Analysis | April 29, 2025

Executive Summary

Visa reported strong fiscal second quarter 2025 results with net revenue growth of 9% (11% on a constant-dollar basis), demonstrating resilient consumer spending despite macroeconomic uncertainties. While GAAP net income decreased 2% year-over-year, non-GAAP net income increased 6%, and non-GAAP earnings per share grew 10%. The company’s performance was driven by healthy trends in payments volume, cross-border volume, and processed transactions.

Q2 2025 Highlights

Net revenue increased 9% to $9.6 billion (11% on a constant-dollar basis)
GAAP net income decreased 2% to $4.6 billion, impacted by a $992 million litigation provision
Non-GAAP net income increased 6% to $5.4 billion
Non-GAAP EPS increased 10% to $2.76
Payments volume increased 8% on a constant-dollar basis
Cross-border volume increased 13% on a constant-dollar basis
Processed transactions increased 9% to 60.7 billion
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Share repurchases and dividends of $5.6 billion
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New $30.0 billion multi-year share repurchase program authorized

“Visa’s strong 9% fiscal second quarter net revenue growth was driven by healthy trends in payments volume, cross-border volume and processed transactions. Consumer spending remained resilient, even with macroeconomic uncertainty. Our strategy across consumer payments, commercial and money movement solutions and value-added services, our diversified business model, and our focus on innovation position us well for the rest of the fiscal year and beyond.”

– Ryan McInerney, Chief Executive Officer

Financial Performance

Net Revenue
$9.6B
↑9% YoY
GAAP Net Income
$4.6B
↓2% YoY
Non-GAAP Net Income
$5.4B
↑6% YoY
GAAP EPS
$2.32
↑1% YoY
Non-GAAP EPS
$2.76
↑10% YoY
Effective Tax Rate
15.8%
0 ppt YoY

GAAP net income in the fiscal second quarter was $4.6 billion or $2.32 per share, a decrease of 2% and an increase of 1%, respectively, over the prior year’s results. The current year’s results included a special item of $992 million for a litigation provision associated with the interchange multidistrict litigation (“MDL”) case, as well as $23 million of net losses from equity investments and $96 million from the amortization of acquired intangible assets and acquisition-related costs.

Excluding these items and related tax impacts, non-GAAP net income for the quarter was $5.4 billion or $2.76 per share, representing increases of 6% and 10%, respectively, over prior year’s results. GAAP earnings per share growth was approximately 3% on a constant-dollar basis, while non-GAAP earnings per share growth was approximately 11% on a constant-dollar basis.

Net revenue in the fiscal second quarter was $9.6 billion, an increase of 9%, driven by the year-over-year growth in payments volume, cross-border volume, and processed transactions. Net revenue increased 11% on a constant-dollar basis.

By revenue category:

  • Service revenue: $4.4 billion, up 9% (based on Q1 payments volume)
  • Data processing revenue: $4.7 billion, up 10%
  • International transaction revenue: $3.3 billion, up 10%
  • Other revenue: $937 million, up 24%
  • Client incentives: $3.7 billion, up 15%

GAAP operating expenses were $4.2 billion for the fiscal second quarter, a 22% increase over the prior year’s results, primarily driven by the increase in the litigation provision. Excluding special items, non-GAAP operating expenses increased 7% over the prior year, primarily due to increases in personnel, marketing, and depreciation and amortization expenses.

Key Business Drivers

Business Driver YoY Change (Constant $) YoY Change (Nominal)
Payments Volume 8% 5%
Cross-Border Volume (Excl. Intra-Europe) 13% 10%
Cross-Border Volume (Total) 13% 10%
Processed Transactions 9% 9%

Payments volume for the three months ended March 31, 2025, increased 8% over the prior year on a constant-dollar basis. This growth demonstrates resilient consumer spending despite macroeconomic uncertainties.

Cross-border volume excluding transactions within Europe, which drives Visa’s international transaction revenue, increased 13% on a constant-dollar basis for the three months ended March 31, 2025. Total cross-border volume on a constant-dollar basis also increased 13% in the quarter, indicating robust international spending and travel recovery.

Total processed transactions, which represent transactions processed by Visa, reached 60.7 billion for the three months ended March 31, 2025, a 9% increase over the prior year. This growth reflects continued digital payment adoption and transaction migration from cash.

The strong performance across all key business drivers highlights Visa’s ability to capitalize on the ongoing shift to digital payments, even in an environment with varying regional economic conditions. The company’s global presence and diversified business model have allowed it to maintain growth momentum despite currency headwinds, as evidenced by the difference between constant-dollar and nominal growth rates.

Balance Sheet & Cash Flow

Cash & Investments
$15.2B
↓$2.5B vs. Q4
Total Debt
$20.8B
↓$0.1B vs. Q4
Share Repurchases (Q2)
$4.5B
13M shares
Dividends (Q2)
$1.2B
↑10% YoY
Operating Cash Flow (6M)
$10.1B
↑24% YoY
Capital Expenditures (6M)
$672M
↑23% YoY

Cash, cash equivalents and investment securities were $15.2 billion at March 31, 2025, representing a strong liquidity position despite significant capital returns to shareholders. The company continues to generate substantial operating cash flow, with $10.1 billion for the six months ended March 31, 2025, a 24% increase over the prior year.

Capital allocation remains focused on shareholder returns while maintaining strategic investment flexibility:

  • During Q2 2025, Visa repurchased approximately 13 million shares of class A common stock at an average cost of $340.26 per share, totaling $4.5 billion.
  • The company had $4.7 billion of remaining authorized funds for share repurchases as of March 31, 2025.
  • In April, the board of directors authorized a new $30.0 billion multi-year class A common stock share repurchase program, demonstrating confidence in the company’s future prospects and commitment to returning capital to shareholders.
  • The board also declared a quarterly cash dividend of $0.590 per share of class A common stock, payable on June 2, 2025.

On March 27, 2025, Visa deposited $375 million into its litigation escrow account, which was previously established under the Company’s U.S. retrospective responsibility plan to insulate the Company and class A common stockholders from financial liability for certain litigation cases. This deposit has the same economic effect on earnings per share as repurchasing the Company’s class A common stock.

The company’s strong balance sheet and cash flow generation provide it with significant financial flexibility to invest in growth opportunities, return capital to shareholders, and navigate potential economic uncertainties.

Understanding Non-GAAP Financial Measures

Visa uses non-GAAP financial measures to provide a clearer view of its underlying business performance by excluding items that may distort longer-term operating trends. For Q2 2025, the primary reconciling items between GAAP and non-GAAP results include:

  • Litigation provision ($992 million): Associated with the interchange multidistrict litigation (“MDL”) case. This significant item was the primary reason for the difference between GAAP and non-GAAP results in Q2 2025.
  • Equity investment losses ($23 million): Net losses from equity investments that are primarily strategic in nature and do not correlate to Visa’s underlying business performance.
  • Amortization of acquired intangible assets ($64 million): Non-cash charges related to intangible assets acquired in business combinations.
  • Acquisition-related costs ($32 million): One-time transaction and integration costs associated with business combinations.

The reconciliation from GAAP to non-GAAP results for Q2 2025:

Metric GAAP Adjustments Non-GAAP
Operating Expenses $4,159M -$1,088M $3,071M
Non-operating Income $3M +$23M $26M
Income Tax Provision $861M +$246M $1,107M
Effective Tax Rate 15.8% +1.1 ppt 16.9%
Net Income $4,577M +$865M $5,442M
EPS $2.32 +$0.44 $2.76

In addition to these adjustments, Visa presents constant-dollar growth rates to eliminate the impact of foreign currency fluctuations. For Q2 2025, non-GAAP EPS growth was 10% as reported but approximately 11% on a constant-dollar basis, providing a clearer picture of underlying earnings growth.

Risks & Opportunities

Opportunities

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Continued shift from cash to digital payments globally
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Growth in cross-border travel and e-commerce transactions
+
Expansion of value-added services beyond core payment processing
+
Acceleration of commercial payment solutions
+
Strategic acquisitions to enhance capabilities and market reach
+
New payment flows and money movement solutions

Risks

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Ongoing litigation related to interchange fees
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Regulatory pressures in various global markets
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Macroeconomic uncertainty and potential consumer spending slowdown
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Currency fluctuations impacting reported results
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Intensifying competition from traditional and emerging payment providers
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Cybersecurity threats and data privacy concerns

Conclusion

Strengths

  • Strong revenue growth of 9% (11% constant-dollar)
  • Robust double-digit growth in cross-border volume (13%)
  • Continued expansion in processed transactions (60.7 billion, +9%)
  • Significant shareholder returns ($5.6 billion in Q2)
  • New $30 billion share repurchase authorization

Focus Areas

  • Managing litigation risk and associated provisions
  • Balancing investments in growth with cost efficiency
  • Mitigating currency translation impacts
  • Maintaining competitive advantage in evolving payment landscape
  • Navigating varying regional economic conditions

Summary

Visa’s fiscal second quarter 2025 results demonstrate the company’s ability to deliver strong financial performance amid varying global economic conditions. The 9% revenue growth (11% on a constant-dollar basis) reflects healthy trends across all key business drivers – payments volume, cross-border volume, and processed transactions – indicating resilient consumer spending despite macroeconomic uncertainties.

While the $992 million litigation provision associated with the interchange multidistrict litigation case impacted GAAP results, the underlying business momentum remains strong as evidenced by the 6% growth in non-GAAP net income and 10% growth in non-GAAP EPS. The company’s diversified business model across consumer payments, commercial solutions, and value-added services continues to provide growth avenues and resilience against regional economic fluctuations.

Visa’s exceptional cash generation capabilities and strong balance sheet enable it to simultaneously invest in future growth opportunities while returning substantial capital to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases. The new $30 billion share repurchase authorization underscores the board’s confidence in Visa’s long-term growth prospects and commitment to shareholder returns.

Looking ahead, Visa is well-positioned to capitalize on the ongoing shift to digital payments globally, expansion of cross-border travel and e-commerce, and growth in new payment flows and value-added services. While litigation risks, regulatory pressures, and macroeconomic uncertainties remain, the company’s focus on innovation and operational excellence should enable it to navigate these challenges and continue delivering strong financial results.

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Investors should conduct their own due diligence or consult a licensed financial advisor. The information presented is based on Visa’s fiscal second quarter 2025 earnings release and may not reflect subsequent developments.

Source: Visa Investor Relations

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